Wednesday, June 29, 2011

Weather or Not: The Impact of External Factors

Even non-pilots realize that weather plays a critical role in aviation. Checking the weather is a crucial component of proper preflight planning. Even if the pilot is instrument rated (as discussed in an earlier blog post), he or she must ensure that weather conditions are conducive to the safe operation of the flight.
Weather is unpredictable. All of us know that the actual weather conditions on any given day may be far different from the forecast. In the aviation world, encountering weather that is inconsistent with the forecast can require that a pilot immediately determine an alternative route of flight.
The leadership equivalent of weather is the external business and economic climate. Unforeseen changes in the business environment can have a profound impact on an organization’s strategic initiatives and can directly affect a leader’s team. Agile and insightful leaders are crucial to the organization under such circumstances.
1.    Assessing the Weather: 
Pilots use a variety of tools to determine the weather conditions that will be found in flight. Current and forecasted weather conditions along the route are examined and in many cases, radar and satellite depictions are analyzed. Gathering as much data as possible allows pilots to minimize the likelihood of encountering unexpected in-flight weather conditions.
Pilots Must Maintain Awareness of Weather Conditions
Photo by obskura

Leaders also have many ways to assess the climate affecting their organizations. Good leaders know that maintaining awareness of short and long-term political, economic and demographic trends supports effective decision-making. External factors that may influence the business should be incorporated into project and strategic plans.  This may seem obvious and simplistic, but leaders can unwittingly fall victim to tunnel vision. Focusing only on the news and events shaping one’s own industry is the equivalent of assessing the weather at the departure point and destination, but failing to consider enroute conditions. Good leaders stay attuned to business news, using a variety of sources such as The Wall Street Journal, CNBC and the business sections of major newspapers to ensure that they are broadly informed on all aspects of business, the economy and geo-political events.
2.    Responding to the Conditions
When pilots find weather conditions that are worse than expected, they must determine if action is necessary. In the case of a non-critical situation, such as moderate turbulence, the conditions may be manageable. The pilot can attempt to find smoother air at a different altitude, but this is not always an option. The comfort of passengers may make action desirable if the air is smoother at a different altitude, but action is not imperative for the safety of the flight. In the case of severe weather such as a developing squall line, a course deviation is a necessity.
Leaders should always maintain awareness of the external climate and be ready to act as needed. If, for example a major employer in the same region has a layoff, spouses and family members of the leader’s team members are likely to be impacted. Acknowledging the situation, maintaining sensitivity to affected team members and providing emotional support to them will pay dividends in loyalty and productivity. An unforeseen critical situation such as a product safety recall may require a leader to drastically alter planned projects and immediately divert attention to managing the internal and external public relations aspect of the recall.
3.    Learning from the Situation
Every pilot, regardless of experience, is still a student. The application of judgment in response to in-flight weather conditions offers a learning opportunity. Weather is not static or repetitive. No two weather encounters will be the same, due to the range of factors that affect atmospheric conditions and in turn, aircraft performance. Taking time after every flight to reflect on the weather conditions encountered and assess the action taken (if any) will position the pilot to sharpen his or her weather related decision-making.
Leadership involves working with people and no two human beings are the same. Like the pilot described above, a leader can benefit from regular reflection on the action taken in response to external factors. This assessment will position a leader to act faster or more effectively in the future.
Economic factors and the business climate are to leaders what weather is to the pilot. Conditions that change rapidly, or are far different from the forecast may require deviation from a plan. Skilled pilots and great leaders stay attuned to these conditions and take action as necessary. They also regularly invest time to learn from every situation, retrospectively assessing the conditions encountered and the responses that they applied.
Recommended readings for this blog post are Weather Flying by Robert N. Buck and On the Brink: Inside the Race to Stop the Collapse of the Global Financial System, by Henry M. Paulson. Weather Flying is a timeless, valuable resource for every pilot who wants to gain greater understanding of weather and its impact on flight. Paulson’s book, although focused primarily on the economic events of the Great Recession, provides an excellent example of the impact of rapidly changing external factors on leadership decision-making.

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